Affirm Stock Tumbles As 2022 Guidance Disappoints As Amazon Deal

Shares of consumer financing firm Affirm Holdings (AFRM) crashed  in early trading on Friday on its December-quarter earnings report. Investors mulled new guidance for AFRM stock, which now includes Amazon.com (AMZN) transactions.

X

Affirm stock on Thursday released its fiscal second-quarter earnings report ahead of schedule. The company’s fiscal second-quarter earnings were released on Business Wire at 2:48 p.m. ET, an hour and 12 minutes before the market close.

Owing to an expanding e-commerce partnership with online giant Amazon, management hiked full-year fiscal 2022 revenue outlook. Affirm projected revenue in a range of $1.29 billion to $1.31 billion, including Amazon transactions.

But that was up only about 5% from earlier guidance, which called for revenue in a range of $1.225 billion to $1.250 billion.

AFRM Stock: Guidance Confusing?

At Bank of America, analyst Jason Kupferberg said AFRM stock issued confusing guidance.

“For fiscal Q3, revenue/GMV are being guided down 9%/18% quarter-over-quarter,” he said in a report. “While AFRM raised its fiscal 2022 outlook (now includes Amazon) for GMV by 11% at the mid-point, the revenue outlook was raised just 5% and growth in transaction costs was raised 9%.”

He added: “Therefore, the midpoint of revenue less transaction expenses (gross margin) guidance was left essentially flat at $590 million (vs. $587.5 million prior). Based on management commentary, these dynamics seem attributable to mix effects that are moving very rapidly, including large enterprise merchants (such as Amazon and Walmart (WMT)), Shopify (SHOP), and Peloton Interactive (PTON). Amazon and Walmart have low take rates and interest-bearing loans only, which have timing differences between revenue (interest income recognized ratably over the life of the loan) and transaction expenses (provisions are booked upfront when loans are issued).”

Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Keane had a cautious view.

“AFRM conservatively raised 2022 guidance much lower than anticipated expecting a sequential decline into Q3 due to seasonality, Peloton and difficult comparisons (despite larger partnerships continuing to ramp),” he said in a report.

AFRM Stock: Wider Net Loss

Affirm reported a 57-cent per share loss using Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, or GAAP, for the three months ended Dec. 31. That compares with a 38-cent loss in the year-earlier period. Analysts had projected a loss of 32 cents per share.

San Francisco-based Affirm reported a net loss of $159.7 million compared with a $26.6 million loss in the year-earlier period. Affirm said it had an adjusted operating loss of $7.9 million vs. $3.1 million in adjusted operating income a year earlier.

Affirm said revenue climbed 77% to $361 million vs. estimates of $329.1 million. The company said gross merchandise volume came in at $4.5 billion, up 115%, vs. estimates at $3.73 billion.

AFRM stock fell 11% to 52.31 in early trades on the stock market today. Shares fell 21.4%…